Still mathematically alive for the season in 22.2% of every possible way this week could go
(snapshot rank this week could land anywhere from #10 to #11)
Denver Summit vs Racing Louisville FC — scenarios this week
How to read this
Every result across the league this week, checked in every combination — 6,561 possible ways this week could go, computed exactly.
Denver Summit hasn't been mathematically eliminated just yet — here's whether each result below keeps that alive (possibly a delulu-alive), and what it would take either way.
If you win this week vs Racing Louisville FC
You could land in #10
Playoff Watch
Still in the running if ONE of these breaks your way…
Utah Royals beats Seattle Reign
Utah Royals and Seattle Reign draw
S#!t outta luck if any ONE of these combos happens…
Seattle Reign beats Utah Royals
If you draw this week vs Racing Louisville FC
You could land in #10
Playoff Watch
See you next year — nothing elsewhere this week changes that.
If you lose this week vs Racing Louisville FC
You could land anywhere from #10 to #11
Dream a little: could climb as high as #10 if…
Orlando Pride and NJ/NY Gotham FC draw
Playoff Watch
See you next year — nothing elsewhere this week changes that.
Oct 23
Utah Royals vs
Seattle Reign (upcoming)
Oct 23
Portland Thorns FC vs
North Carolina Courage (upcoming)
Oct 23
Chicago Stars FC vs
Houston Dash (upcoming)
Oct 24
Angel City FC vs
Bay FC (upcoming)
Oct 24
Denver Summit vs
Racing Louisville FC (upcoming)
Oct 25
San Diego Wave FC vs
Boston Legacy (upcoming)
Oct 25
Kansas City Current vs
Washington Spirit (upcoming)
Oct 25
Orlando Pride vs
NJ/NY Gotham FC (upcoming)
What "still in the running" means
"Still in the running" means still mathematically alive for the WHOLE SEASON given this week's result (same logic as the ELIMINATED/CLINCHED check on the league table) — checked exactly across every possible combination of this week's games, not estimated. The season points range at the top comes from the same simulation as the Range column on the standings. "Could climb as high as #N" and the CLINCH/tier lines each describe one specific good (or bad) path, not something guaranteed on their own. For their full season-long picture, see their Team View.